Soft power Studies

Develop scenarios that affect the geoeconomic effects of the corona prevalence

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

mir najaf mousavi 1
Mohsen Janparvar 2
sajed bahramijaf 3
reyhane salehabadi 4
ali shamsoodini 5

1 Professor of Geography and Urban Planning, Urmia University, Urmia, Iran.

2 Assistant professor of political geography of Ferdowsi University of Mashhad

3 PhD student in Political Geography, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran.

4 Graduated from Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran.

5 Assistant Professor of Geography and Rural Planning, Marvdasht Branch, Islamic Azad University, Marvdasht, Iran.

https://doi.org/DOR:20.1001.1.23225580.1398.9.2.1.7
Abstract
The developments of the last decades of the twentieth century have paved the way for the growth of acting and the role of the economy in the global arena, and have given meaning to the concept of geoeconomics. Geoeconomics, which is the knowledge of designing and recreating actors' strategies using the geographical resources of power with economic nature in the relations of different scales, has become one of the leading fields of interpretation and analysis of global issues and the structure of power and actions between actors. Is. The prevalence of coronavirus has had various effects on the global space, and in the present study, an attempt has been made to analyze the scenarios facing actors in the global space by geoeconomic approach using the foresight method. In this study, an attempt has been made to study and analyze the geoeconomic effects of coronavirus outbreak on the structure of the world based on the foresight method. The present study is descriptive-analytical in terms of purpose, application and type of research method. The nature of the data is quantitative and qualitative, and the method of data and information collection is library, documentary, and survey. Data analysis is based on future research techniques, including the analysis of interactions. In this study, a total of 35 modes (uncertainties) were considered for 7 key factors. The results show that among the developed scenarios, 7 strong and probable scenarios, 4706 scenarios with poor adaptation to the future progress of the resulting geoeconomic situation.

Keywords

Geoeconomics
Futurism
Scenario
Coronavirus
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